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Los Alamitos for Friday 13 December 2019

So so card today but both cards this weekend look good at first glance.

Best of luck as always!


race 1    average clarity

5  Gotta Be Lucky   sure looks like a sprint-sprint-route maneuver for this Carla Gaines filly whose lifetime best (and by a wide margin) was the only time she ran in a dirt route race........and the race was run on the Lcr surface.....such a deal

4  Flying Blue   encouraging to see three works (two of them at 5F) since this girl's latest on November 3 where she ran a close 3rd as the heavy favorite..........drops one notch......seems very well meant once again today

1  Full Court   only one dirt race in her 11 lifetime starts and it wasn't all that bad considering it was her maiden debut........trainer Steve Sherman is strong in two trainer categories that apply here.......turf to dirt (6 for last 18) and beaten favorite (29% last 85)


race 2    below average clarity

2  Ice Kitty   Yakteen MC 1st timer hasn't missed a beat in the a.m. dating back to at least mid September.......that and he worked a couple better than than it looks gate drills at SA on what was a very deep/slow surface

3  Mrs Kimberly K   another that has worked regularly dating back to at least mid has tossed 3 winners from 3 starters including a Stakes winner and all were able to win at two.......believe there is a decent chance D'Amato has this youngster ready to roll at 1st asking

5  Durga   good MC debut but she was atrocious in her 2nd lifetime start in the MSW ranks......blinkers go on today in hopes of finding her debut effort.......and drops back to the MC50K level


race 3    average clarity

4  Liberty Park   rather consistent dirt route runner in his last 8 races........stepped up in his latest and did not compete too badly......and that was for a 3% trainer in 2019.......switches to a 30% trainer today......that sure seems significant and then some

1  Top of the Game   solid win racing off of 44 days rest at Lrc in the 7 Sept version of this 8K.........then won for 10K at Del Mar off of 35 days off........returns 62 days later for today's race.......time interval might be doable......Velez and his agent likely think so as they want the mount for a 3rd straight time

5  Autumn Day   very well prepared for his last start with 2 good six furlong works put into him by work showing since the 22 November race.......last might do the trick but it is debatable if he is up to another strong race as prepared as he was for his latest.......will shall find out mid afternoon on Friday the 13th


race 4    below average clarity

6  Call Me Daddy   solid awakened in his third lifetime start with the drop out of the MSW ranks and with the blinkers put back on.......that effort was run in a six furlong sprint.........can he repeat it at a route......we shall see

2  Convex   we get the "full monty" here......1st time racing as a gelding.......1st at a route.......MSW drop to low level seems like now or never for this McCarthy $155K purchase last April who must have looked good at the time of sale as his pedigree suggested a much lower price

4  Bamboozler   sprint debut was decent.........lost rider when clipping heels in 2nd start..........was washy at the gate in 3rd start and dueled in a very nasty set of fractions at Del Mar on a slow surface on 22 Nov and predictably cashed in........if he can put away the one horse he might get loose and lonely on the lead


race 5    below average clarity  

3  Too Much Smoke   very weak looking group as nobody has impressed much in the least this filly has a mom who has tossed 3 winners from 3 starters and one of them was a Stakes winner........and the trainer stands out here as the best conditioner in the field by a wide margin

6  Miss Carousel   works were getting good and then maybe the connections backed of some with her last two works to "get a price" in her MSW debut

2  Jemsek   outworked her barn mate on paper (our 2nd pick) by plenty in their last two preparatory works which were out of the gate........was that because as mentioned above they backed of some with her last two works to "get a price" or was it valid......we shall see


race 6    average clarity

7  Herunbridledpower   trainer Trela is usually at her most dangerous off of layoffs of 45 to 90 days which is the case today for this  mare.........six year old is (6 3 1 0) on the Lrc surface and (9 5 2 0) at the distance.......all powerful stats to say the least

2  Timberlake Gage   2nd go around for trainer Jorge Rosales with this three year old filly and that is a dangerous thing as her record with Rosales is (4 3 1 0).......filly should be in the mix from the get go

4  Coalinga Hills  decent history racing with ample time off between starts and gets it it today in the form of 7 weeks today......seems at her best at Lrc and also racing at today's 5 1/2 furlong distance........not out of the win picture by any means


race 7    average clarity

7  High Five   lifetime best by far and a strong fit here was his lone race at Lrc and the race was run of off 21 days rest following a race at Del Mar......latest race was at Dmr 14 days ago........hmmmm

6  Policy   might by a good claim for 25K of horse who is now eligible for the non-claiming alw50,000s level..........Mark Glatt has won with his last 24 of 100 claims 1st out under his guidance

1  Bob's Sniper   good history since Blanc has been legged up starting in his 3rd lifetime start (5 1 3 0)........gelding seems capable on or off of the lead......gelding is at his best 2nd out after a break and that is the case today.......would have rated higher if not for having something to prove competing on the Lrc surface

3  Lord Adare

2  Cunnings Munnings


race 8    average clarity

2  Buyback   exits a key fast heat of MC40K three and up runners where she finished 2nd albeit a distant one......three year old filly not only drops to MC30K today but one that is restricted to her age only.......she should be a ton today if she holds form

10  My S V R   lifetime best was her lone racing endeavor at Lrc and it was at today's 5 1/2 furlong distance........very sharp improved near bullet (2nd best of 53 at the 4F distance) since her latest.......that and her endurance should be enhanced coming off of route race

4  Dairy Kid   toss her last as she was placed at MC40K and against males (total gimme).......back to where she belongs this afternoon........filly does decently when able to compete off of short rest and 14 days since her latest qualifies for that......that and we get a (subtle) rider upgrade

6  Pasito

1  Willowglade

9  Root Beer Rag



Posted on December 13, 2019 at 6:50 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections