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Santa Anita for Sunday 16 February 2020

OK race card this afternoon. Just a reminder that there is racing tomorrow Presidents Day.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

(AE 11 and/or AE 12 are dangerous if either draw into the field)

5  Bella Vita   tough trip in her MSW debut which was the 10 Jan version of this 5 1/2F grass race for Cal-bred maidens..........she broke poorly and ran a little wide.......not too shabby of an effort as she still only lost by a nose.......see ya Van Dyke - hello Prat

9  Win Like Coach P   trainer has been rather chilly at the meeting but he appears to have this MSW 1ster all wound up and ready.......and her a.m. work hints at having early speed......using speed jock Maldonado supports the notion

3  Bella D   banged around at the start in her MSW debut or could have shown more.......and besides I believe the race was a tune-up anyway........if that is the case bombs away here as we get one significant rider change to the best grass rider on the grounds in Rispoli.......and folks that is hard for me to write as I think the world of Rosario

7  Elofranco

2  Time for Sally

 

race 2    below average clarity

7  Papa Turf   best on the SA main track and it sure showed two races back where he demolished his foes at today's 10K level.........and back to Cedillo who rode that day after being absent for a race.......elder statesman (nine year old) should be in the hunt from the get go

6  Short of Ez   not much cooking in his latest but his race two back might do the trick especially with a significant rider upgrade........like our top choice this fellow appears best competing on the SA dirt

3  Captain N. Barron   trainer is very dangerous 1st out after he takes over the training duties of a given horse.........gelding does well with ample time between starts and gets that today.........and he appears to be the speed of the speed and gets top speed jock in the irons.......believe he will go off higher than his morning line

8  Love Your Life

2  Boy Howdy

 

race 3    below average clarity

5  Warren's Empress   sure appears that her MSW debut was a sprint tune-up for today's turf route..........trainer is solid with 2nd time starters.........and...........also with the blinkers going on for the 1st time which is the case here........tepid top pick in what appears to be a very weak group

7  Nocherylikemychery   her two turf routes are not that bad and today she gets one significant change in riders..........and not that bad looks OK versus this dismal looking bunch

10  Creer   nasty post but this filly sat fairly close to a solid pace so Gryder has a shot to clear most or all by the turn......if he pulls it off then this three year old should have been selected higher

3  Kissable U

6  Too Much Smoke

 

race 4    above average clarity

6  Charlatan   $700K purchase is training like one for Baffert and company.......and did the colt ever perk-up when he moved from LA to SA........rather sure this is one nice three year old colt who likes the SA surface

2  Lane Way   bet hard in his MSW and ran a very strong race in what should turn out to be one key race on 19 January at SA........Mandella/Prat runner is not out of the win picture by any means........pun intended

5  Jeffnjohn'sthunder   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  exits the same strong race as our 2nd selection running quite a bit better than par.......cut back in sprint distance seems like a plus.......has some shot here but the top two selections seemingly have more upside

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Margot's Boy   moved forward in his 2nd lifetime start to graduate in style with a 2 3/4 length win........needs another improvement and his works since his 12 Jan graduation suggests that he will provide one.........good post and a decent turf rider........such a deal

9  Fly the Sky   three year old gelding is (5 2 3 0) since the blinkers were put on.........that and he just popped his lifetime best with 1st time Rispoli in the irons.......difficult post or would have been top choice......should be fun to watch the stout Italian turf rider handle this one from the 9 post.......so far he has an uncanny ability to control a given grass horse like he is driving a car........he might just be red hot (at the top of his game) but if he is not he is going to be in very high demand when racing in turf races

1  Summer Fire   rider trainer (Smith/Hess) teamed up to win yesterday's 1st which was also a grass route..........colt was over his head in his last running a number that fits at today's lower level........1st on the sod but bred to handle it

8  If Id Told You

2  Include the Tax

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Afternoon Heat   colt is highly competitive not missing the board in 7 lifetime starts.......and.......he is nicely improved since Knapp claimed 5 races back.......both lifetime races (his last two) on the SA dirt are better than par and fit solidly here.......and today he gets 1st time Rosario so that hints he has held form

5  Tigre Di Slugo   exits the same strong race as our top pick where he earned an adjusted Santucci fig that was only one length less than our top selection ran........nice a.m. work since and gets to race off of relatively short rest of 4 weeks.........upside potential........not easy to split top two picks

12  Posterize   four year old can really fly and runs 1st out following the Lorenzo claim who has won one third of his last thirty "1st out following a claim" runners.......he needs a loose lead and there isn't that much early gas in the field.......dangerous sort

6  Policy

4  Jen Go Unchained  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

 

race 7    below average clarity

6  Laura's Light   three year old filly has done little wrong in her 3 lifetime races two of which were route turf races........and I like her chances to handle a turf sprint because she ran one fast sub 1:10 flat 6F at two on the AW at GG

5  Lighthouse   seemingly disliked the two turns in her latest racing endeavor.........back to a grass sprint which she likes.........recent a.m. work is vastly improved.......believe she is sitting on her lifetime best

4  Shines Her Light  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  last two grass races and quite good........her race 3 back in Ire where she beat 18 of 19 foes vs the guys.....and her latest which was her 1st in the U S of A........likely needs a small improvement and I believe she will provide one

3  Orquidias Biz

8  Spitefulness

 

race 8    average clarity

7  Speakerofthehouse   four year old sure handled his 1st on the dirt well following 13 straight grass races to start his career.........that and he appears to one of the few in here that will appreciate running as far as 1 1/16.........like the switch to the bug boy who over the last two months only rode for Ian Kruljac once and it was a decent priced winner

5  Mona Luna   back to Maldonado who has gotten the most out of this "need to lead type".........would have made top pick if this race was at one mile.......the extra 1/16 today might flatten him out late making him vulnerable

9  Cross Town   this four year old seems capable of stalking and if that is where Abel Cedillo places him I like his chances of being tough in the stretch

4  My Journey

3  Meadway

 

 

 

Posted on February 16, 2020 at 8:51 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections