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Santa Anita for Saturday 22 February 2020

Good card today handicapping wise unless we get more rain than predicted which seems to be only one tenth of an inch at most. Take note that the rail (on the dirt) was somewhat dull yesterday but with the cool temperatures and some moisture my guess is it will firm up and be OK this afternoon. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

8  Royal Suspect   tough trips in last two starts earning adjusted for trouble and pace Santucci figs that are both 4 1/2 lengths better than par for today's level......sharp 7/70 48:1H drill put in since his 22 Feb......feeling good

2  Kadesh   colt sure fits with the double level drop in MC if he is still has held his form.......but.......this drop is somewhat suspicious as is the fact he only shows one drill since his latest run 33 days ago........tough call......but......dangerous

5  Debt Monger   on the improve with each and every race and if his upswing in ability can continue on today he might have as good a shot as anyone of taking down this MC30K affair

4  Mr. Nasty

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Catch the Eye   both lifetime races run at SA on the turf at today's one mile distance are good and both disguised in their strength.......and today we get a better grass jock on this girl's back than who was up for the two aforementioned grass races at SA..........a.m. preparation is solid........I would be surprised in this filly didn't give a good account of herself today

2  Tagline   only one lifetime race to date for this filly four year old and it was way back in May.......she beat 7 of 11 foes but went off at 65 to 1 hinting she wasn't all that meant or cranked up......works hint that she is today.........might go off a decent price

7  Saving Sophie   1st racing with blinkers today and also first time Hall of Fame rider Mike Smith in the saddle...... all 3 route races are par like efforts for this filly and the latest one was her 1st on the lawn at a route.......and unless you are a touring golf pro "par" is a good thing

1  Kelani Kim

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Zillinda   six year old mare has been at her best when racing at one mile on a fast main track at Santa Anita (2 1 1 0)........good post and a jock in Pereira who was aboard for the 2 one mile fast track races at SA......should be in the mix from the get go and likely tough throughout

4  Shanghai Barbie   very consistent at Santa Anita when competing in fast track routes (4 1 2 1).......and in those 4 races 3/4 of a length is the most this filly finished behind the winner........hard not to like

5  Boonesboro Beauty   bet hard to favorite in her latest where she dropped multiple levels........she ran fine but was compromised by a wide trip.......switch in riders today to Rispoli who when teaming up with Eric Kruljac has been given nothing but "live" runners.......that and Kruljac is 32% win and 76% in the money with beaten favorites........dangerous sort

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Exaulted   powerful MSW debut running 2nd to a next out winner (in a Grade 2) who ran a sub 1:16 6 1/2 furlongs.........Mike Smith stays put for today's 2nd start and 1st at a route........solid 3 work series has this colt well prepared for the challenge of 2 turns which he owns a decent pedigree for

2  Cool Runnings   tried the dirt (and at SA) for the 1st time and fired his lifetime best and earned a Santucci fig that was 6L better than par when you adjust for trouble.......three year old from the Desormeaux barn has been away since the 3 November 1st on the dirt race but he has put in copious drills since including a very strong 6F gate work on 8 Feb........and Desormeaux seldom pushes his stock hard........dangerous off pace runner who should be a handsome price

6  Yeng Again   pounded at the windows in his MSW debut and ran too well to lose.......and like our top two selections he ran much better than par..........1st at a route today which is a solid stat for Baltas.......and appears as though he has enough early speed so as not to get caught wide on the 1st turn.........like his chances if bug boy Velez (semi-chilly theses days) accomplishes the task

3  Divine Armor

7  Reprobate

 

race 5    above average clarity

1  Jolie Olimpica   after crushing her competition in Brazil by 4, 3 and 6 lengths in her first three lifetime starts she won a grade 3 at SA in solid record breaking 101 flat.......and one mile seems like a better fit..........Mike Smith wisely stays put and has a good post to work with........should be one tough cookie

2  Carressa   four year old filly from the Shirreffs barn won a Grade 3 in her 1st on the turf in her latest and the race was at today's one mile distance......doubt that race would beat our top choice but her effort two back run at one mile on the dirt could if of course she is as good on the turf as the dirt..........we shall see about 2:30 pacific time

10  La Sardane   six year old mare seems to only respond to today's rider Flavien Prat on her back and he remains up today following a decent wake-up race in her latest.......needs to build on the effort and wouldn't be impossible to win this race if she does

4  Mucho Unusual

8  Lady Prancealot

 

race 6    average clarity 

7  Temple Knights   young trainer Andrew Lerner is red hot and he appears to have the trump card for this five year old gelding who just ran his lifetime best 2nd out after a claim......that race was at 6 1/2F and the way in which he finished the race hints his 1st at 7F will be doable

4  Bouncing Around   strong wake-up in his latest in a race run at SA where he has both his lifetime wins......and the strength of the race is somewhat disguised by a bad trip........five year old has never raced at 7 panels but he sure appreciates 6 1/2F........low % trainer and jock might help the odds go higher than his 5 to 2 ML

5  Whatsittoya   most likely to get a loose lead and his latest looks better than it appears on paper as he dueled in a decent pace on a dull inside at SA on 24 Jan......can he last 6 1/2F........that seems up in the air

2  Rinse and Repeat

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Sunrise Royale  five year old mare dueled in a nasty set of fractions and predictably flattened out late to run 4th.......she looks loose today and this time her hot turf jock will likely set more reasonable fractions.........and as mentioned in today's 3rd race when jockey Umberto Rispoli teams up with Eric Kruljac the trainers horses have been very "live" for the most part

2  Charmingslew   Prat takes a mount that went off of 62 to 1 in her last and was beaten 30 lengths at the wire........that hints the race was a total no go to drop down to the optional 20K for today's nw alw race placing some doubt in the minds of the claiming vultures lurking........mare is 2 for 6 at today's one mile turf distance and 0 for 6 at other turf distances

3  Avalon Ride   hard trying competitive filly should get a ground saving trip from the rear of the field with little traffic to negotiate with only 4 foes.......she is a little short number wise but if there is a lively pace up front it might not matter

 

race 8    below average clarity

6  Jaxon's Goldie   so so debut on the turf for this colt but his a.m. work on the dirt hints the main track might be a better fit.......if it is a better fit this O'Neill three year old should be in the mix from the opening bell and tough throughout

5  Prince Ricky   good speed here and gets 5 lbs off.......and........cuts back in distance from 6 1/2 to 6F.......gelding has been able to work a reassuring 3 times since his last run on 24 Jan.......might be feeling good

10  Nietzsche   needs more endurance for his sprint races so his last run at one mile seems likely to provide it.......if that is the case it should be a major factor in the outcome off this maiden claiming $30K for three year old runners

12  Golden Victory

11  Call Ofthe Lure

 

race 9    average clarity

8  Much More Halo   both lifetime turf races for this Baffert colt fit fine in this spot.........and today this colt gets one significant rider upgrade for a grass race.....from a jock who struggles on it to one who is outstanding on it especially with young developing horses like this youngster

7  K P Indy   both lifetime sprint races on the turf fit fine here.......colt has been absent since 5 October but he has put in 12 works since.......red hot trainer/rider combo over the last two months in Cedillo/Mullins (5 3 1 0)........seems like a major player

3  Restoring Dreams   dueled in one nasty pace in his latest and predictably tired late........blinkers on and the works since the 5 1/2F grass race are vastly improved hinting the equipment change has helped.......we shall see at about 4:30 Pacific time if that is the case

1  Munnings' Pilot

5  Eastern Ocean

 

 

 

Posted on February 22, 2020 at 8:24 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections