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Santa Anita for Friday 28 February 2020

Decent card today and at 1st glance also on Saturday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Mongolian Legend  here is the comment prior to this fellow's last race where he was our top pick, "gelding just popped one strong adjusted for trouble Santucci fig for the MSW level with about 8L of trip adjustment........that and he has put in two quality drills since the 26 Jan race......decent history racing off of short rest and 26 days since his latest qualifies for that"........he ran well but once again Assael Espinoza gave him a bad ride as in too wide up near the pace.......essentially earning the same adjusted for trouble Santucci fig........blinkers on......going for lead and he or our 2nd choice should get it

3  T Bones Trick   3 of his 4 lifetime races fit fine at today's lower level (one on the turf and two on the AW)........so if he can run as well on conventional dirt he should be a major factor in the outcome of this MC40K for Andy Mathis and friends.......blinkers on and as mentioned above it appears as if he or our top pick will grab the lead

2  Irish Spirit   trainer Michael McCarthy has been on a roll of late and he might keep the good times coming with this five year old gelding who if he runs as well on the SA dirt as he did on the Lrc dirt he should be a major player here.......his late running chances will obviously be enhanced if the 1 and the 3 end up dueling

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Classy Atlantic   nice layoff 5 1/2 turf sprint in her latest and the strength of the effort is somewhat disguised by wide trip up on the pace.......claimed in the race by Cerin who is very stout 1st following a claim.......strong work regiment since the 10 Jan race is solid........Maldonado rides thru the claim

4  Dearborn   last victory came the last time this mare was up for sale and the race came 2nd out after a break......same scenario this afternoon.......and her latest sure seemed like a "gimme" in a protected alw race.........dangerous sort from the  Bonde barn........trainer is having a strong meeting with limited starters

1  Point Hope   two solid races for this mare who switches trainers today following the Mark Glatt claim.......she has the ability to be tough here but she must cope with a difficult post at the 5 1/2F turf distance at SA (so many are breaking slowly).....at least she has Prat up for the 1st time to help her chances of breaking well

 

race 3    average clarity

6  Raneem   very logical drop for this Baffert four filly year old as she has had seven chances at the MSW level and has tried the turf and the dirt multiple times each.........gets to race turf to dirt for her drop to the MC50K level.......and take note that the only time this filly raced with blinkers at SA (27 May 19) she ran an effort/fig that is very strong for today's given level

5  Malibu Cat   exits the same turf race as our top pick with a similar effort and she also races in a maiden claiming race for the first time ........1st ever on a fast track dirt today (slop race not too hot) and if her solid a.m. prowess is any indication she should handle the main track at SA just fine......hard to split top two

1  Enriched by Deb   three year old filly vs older this early is often a tough proposition for a three year old but not necessarily at the abbreviated sprint distance of 5 1/2F.......so.......this Baltas 1st starter who is training awfully well can't be ignored by yours truly

8  Palm d'Oro

4  Pammi Dearest

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Will Dancer   four year old gelding has decent early speed and seemingly enough to grab the lead here........and essentially all three of his three fast rated route dirt races with the blinkers on fit solidly.......and his latest one is disguised by dueling in very fast fractions for the given day........trainer Eddie Truman has done well with limited starters (8 2 2 2)

1  Super Classic   trainer Ruben Gomez was quite often an easy toss out but not of late.......10 lbs apprentice rider looked good on this late runner in his latest where he beat our top choice but benefited from a nasty pace.......lone win came at today's 8 1/2 furlong distance.......connections likely have their fingers crossed that once again our top pick will have to deal with another fast pace

5  Indy Jones   poor trip in his latest or could have won the 7 Feb version if this race which was run at 1/16 less.......that extra 1/2 furlong to deal with is the main reason he is placed as low as our third selection because both his efforts at 1 1/16 are dismal as he has flattened out badly in late stretch

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Commanding Chief   consistent sort has only raced at 9F on the turf once and by my book the race is his lifetime best and disguised by too wide of a trip..........three sharp 5F drills since his latest run 4 weeks ago......turf rider upgrade.....all systems go

7  Border Town   on the improve with each and every race.......blinkers on today likely to attempt to get him to exit the metal monster better as he has broken slowly in all 4 lifetime starts.......like his chances if the equipment change works......recent improved drills hint that it will

4  Trojan Magic   should be loose thus dangerous.......young trainer Lerner continues to impress.....but.........Fuentes (who I like on the dirt) struggles on the grass so it is easy to make him 3rd pick especially with our top two picks likely closing fast in the stretch

3  Capital Call

 

race 6    average clarity

6  It's a Riddle   seems like a smart move by Hess and company to drop their consistent three year old (7 0 5 1) one MC level as she has to face older for the first time.....her numbers fit fine here especially at the 5 1/2 furlong mark of her races.....that and she gets an eight lbs break in the weights........jock knows her well as Cedillo has been aboard for 6 of her 7 lifetime races

5  Dorita's Lemon   Eric Kruljac 1st time starter is working well enough to be ready to handle the MC20K level at 1st asking......and when the veteran trainer has legged up Umberto Rispoli his stock has been very "live" for the most

3  Caught in a Trappe   another 1st time starter training well enough (especially drill on on 14 Feb) to possible be sharp enough to be a factor in his MC20K debut for Val Brinkerhoff

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Truth Seeker   should be a lively pace up front which can play into the hands of this four year old gelding who cuts back in distance for his 2nd lifetime turf endeavor.......his latest was the turf route version of this 50K turf claiming event and it was decent especially considering it was his 1st ever on the sod.......and the only time he sprinted on the dirt he won at only 1/2 furlong more

4  Restless Rambler   double barrel action from Glatt as he also conditions our top pick-a-rue......lead type only can really fly and sure seems like he is the speed of the speed.......rider upgrade and a recent best of 70 bullet 4F work.......should be tough and he also sets things up nicely for his barn mate

2  Kazan   only other true closer in the race has been away since August........he is likely pointed more for his next start which likely will be a route but that doesn't mean that he can't fly very late if one hot pace up front develops which it could

 

race 8    average clarity

6  Perfect Affection   usually a tough spot for a three year this early in the year to have to compete in a 3 & up MC 50K but there is only one older horse in the field (our 3rd choice)........gelding is in need of a drop out of MSW racing and he seems ready for his best ever with a strong 4F preparatory drill.........if he is ready for a lifetime best he will be very dangerous with today's drop

2  World O Luck   Puype year in and year out is dangerous with the MSW to MC move........1st on the dirt today for start number 3 and his pedigree seems better for it.......might be muscled up nicely coming off of two 5 1/2F turf sprints........and he gets a rider upgrade

1  Tejon   only horse in the field older than three and he happens to be five........works suggest he is ready enough to face a bunch of youngsters......would have rated higher if he didn't have such a difficult post to debut from in 6 1/2 furlongs with it's gap to the left soon after the start

5  Seizetheday Rexy

 

 

Posted on February 28, 2020 at 5:47 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections