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Del Mar for Friday 21 August 2020

Kentucky Derby Day is 15 days from now. Purchase is available and for a very limited time save $5 on our special publication for racing's big day at Churchill Downs. As usual your selections will be sent to your email starting around 6 p.m. on Friday the day before Derby Day.

Tremendous card tomorrow at Del Mar for Pacific Coast Classic day.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Hurley   trainer is quite strong 2nd out after a claim and 2nd out after a layoff both of which are the case this afternoon.......that and I like the step up of one claiming level which hints this filly exited her layoff run in good shape.......extra 1/16 of ground to cover appears to be a plus

7  Quinne   major league rider upgrade......combine that with the significant cut back turf distance and we have a mare who looks awfully tough with the drop down in class

3  Kittyhawk Lass  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  race lacks speed so sharp grass jock Rispoli likely will send this filly hard.......might sit pretty in one of the 1st three positions in what should be a very slow pace

4  Lexingto Grace

 

race 2    average clarity

7  Drippin Sauce   2 of this gelding's 3 races run on the Dmr dirt are solid numbers for today's level of racing which includes his latest run at 7F........and the 1/2 furlong less to cover today appears to be a plus

3  Natural History   invader is eligible for the extra money available to out-of-towners........last two races run at CD fit well in this spot........1st time gelding today so there is some potential for "better" today.......seems somewhat significant that this is Victor Espinoza's lone mount on the card

1  Tizhotndusty   nice effort turf to dirt two back........turf in last and dirt today........and improved a.m. work.....might be sitting on lifetime best

5  Promise Nothing

4  Hidden Promise

 

race 3    average clarity

2  Murad Khan   positive jock change especially for a grass race.......gelding just ran his lifetime best and that is rather hidden because of a bad trip and a 3rd place finish........seven year old loves the Del Mar turf course (4 2 0 2) and so O'Neill will likely pull out all stops with him today as this might be the last opportuntity to run at Dmr until late fall

3  Big Score   best overall credentials in the race with about 75% of his races better than par considering today's lower level of racing.........last run off of a layoff is solid and like our top choice disguised in it's strength........switch in jocks today to Prat.......that combined with a 2nd out following a prolonged break should make for a tough cookie this afternoon

5  Jasikan  (5 3 0 1) in one mile races.........likely needed his last......Rispoli stays put which is usually a very good thing in a grass race and especially so when he is on a horse who started their career overseas like this colt who hails from Ireland

 

race 4    average clarity

8  Little Miss Ellie   filly has run too well to lose in her two lifetime starts which were also at the Cal Bred MC50K level........not the best of trips in both races.......should be very tough if she holds form and Cedillo gives her an OK trip

2  Jan Jan Can   solid move forward in this girl's 2nd lifetime start and the strength of the improvement is hidden some.......rider upgrade today and she might improve again........a major player if that scenario comes to fruition

6  Get'em Tiger   only conventional dirt race for this Quinn Howey runner is decent.....sprint-route-sprint maneuver today which is a strong move by the trainer as in 6 for his last 13

10  Magnolia's Hope

7  She's Our Arch

 

race 5    average clarity

(NOTE:  AE 11 Dennis Celery has a shot if he draws into the field) SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE 

1  Scooby   colt was able to run 3rd in his debut which was in a 100K dirt Stakes race despite breaking a little tardy and racing wide.......Prat stays put likely realizing that he is the one to overcome if he can give this two year old a better trip and he takes to the surface and distance change.....OK pedigree for the sod

9  Big Talker   two year old route turf experience is surely a plus and his MSW debut is better than it looks as Mike Smith sat dead last in a race with a pedestrian pace.......mom has tossed 4 turf winners from 5 starters (two were Stakes winners) and she has a chance to make it 5 for 5 with this colt

2  Warren's Candy Man   good new sire and mom has tossed one winner from one starter who was a Stakes winner and also a turf winner........trainer hasn't hit the board with his last nine 1st timers debuting on the turf but that might change today

6  Big Fish

3  Teton Valley

 

race 6    below average clarity

7  King Parker   9 straight races with Velez up (0 for 43 and counting).......better recent a.m. work and Prat up who has won 2 of his last 4 riding for Lewis.........hmmmm

11  Fire When Ready   Hess is dangerous both 2nd out after a claim and dropping multiple levels......both are the case here........gelding is 2 for 5 at 6F and 2 for 14 at other distances

14 AE  Midnight Destiny  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE 

1  Papa Turf

2  Black Storm

10  Adens Dream

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Hudson River Park   all three lifetime dirt races for this fresh off of the O'Neill claim runner fit solidly at the MC20K level........10% win trainer in 2020 but Doug is more than 2 1/2 times that 1st following a claim........hard not to put on top

9  World Affairs   both lifetime dirt races fit......nice reassuring work since his last which was the 27 July version of this race......decent rider/trainer combo in Cedillo & Glatt

1  Sharp Speaker   improving of late and he might be up for another positive move forward.......dangerous if progress continues this afternoon

11 AE  Next Revolt

4  Kazansky

6  Tiger's Song

 

race 8    below average clarity

6  Hotitude   ignoring her lone turf race as it was a route run off of a layoff and likely was a gimme as she went off 33 to 1.......that and she just worked a solid bullet 4F turf drill........Mulhall is having a good meeting at Dmr with limited starters and a good portion of that success is with today's rider J J Hernandez up

4  Leggs Galore   nice maiden breaking win in her latest which was run 2 weeks ago and also at today's 5F turf distance.........that race fits well at today's higher level but Cedillo does not ride back instead he is on our 5th choice........perplexing move or would have made her top pick

11  Liberalism   dangerous speed if he takes to his 1st on the turf.......pedigree for it is decent......top turf jock sticks around

9  Smiling Annie

2  Shylock Eddie

 

race 9    average clarity

2  Into Chocolate   (5 3 2 0) in her last 5 races when not wearing blinkers.........Clifford Sise has been firing on all cylinders at Del Mar and has had quite the rebound 2020.....2 of the last 3 races run for this filly fit well here (one at Bel and one at Dmr) and the effort at Dmr is disguised by a wide trip moving into a fast 3/4's for a 6 1/2F affair

1  Gingham   strange career for a Baffert runner as this three year old filly started her career with 8 straight route races......her latest and her lifetime best was in a sprint of 6 1/2F and she broke from the one post.........very aggressive a.m. work.......hard not to like

5  Sneaking Out   filly has been in the exacta 9 of 11 lifetime and overall has the best credentials in this G3 affair.......so why 3rd pick?.......she seems slightly dull in the morning since switching her morning work from LA to Dmr

8  Unique factor

6  Amuse

 

race 10    above average clarity

1  Rockie Causeway   solid improvement in this girl's 2nd lifetime start and considering that Prat stays up for a 3rd straight race she likely will continue her progress today........and she earned an adjust for trouble Santucci fig that is one length better than par for the given level.........and unless you are a touring golf pro one under is a good thing

4  Eddie's Sister   very good turf pedigree for this filly who showed speed in both of her lifetime sprints.......filly should go after the lead and try to never look back......trainer can do no wrong all of sudden

2  Nina En Fuego   should benefit from her debut which was the 1 August version of this race........and........the fact that leading grass rider Umberto Rispoli stays put supports the notion

6  Rose's Crystal

10  Cassie Belle

 

 

 

 

 

Posted on August 20, 2020 at 2:16 pm by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections