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Del Mar for Saturday 22 August 2020

Kentucky Derby Day is 2 weeks away. Purchase is available and for a very limited time save $5 on our special publication for racing's big day at Churchill Downs. As usual your selections will be sent to your email starting around 6 p.m. on Friday the day before Derby Day.

Enjoy this fabulous day of racing at Del Mar. The card sure looks awfully good to me. Hope I help you make you some money.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

2  Princess Noor  Baffert 1st time starter was bought for 1 1/3 million as a two year old and so the best trainer with young horses on the planet has his potential star training like she should be one tough customer in her debut

7  Flash Magic   another Baffert 1ster all wound up and seemingly ready to give her best in her debut into the wonderful world that is thoroughbred racing

1  Frosted Blue   very strong work tab at Lrc prior to her MSW debut did not carryover to the Del Mar surface as this filly ran just OK in her debut........that race and two decent works since on the Dmr track might have her tuned-up for the ocean-side racetrack this time around

6  Peachtree Road

 

race 2    average clarity

7  Unchain Her Heart   two solid races to start this girl's career last summer as a two year old......likely injured in her 3rd which was dull.......a dozen works put in in preparation for her return to the race wars and the last two which were put in at Del Mar hint she is peaking at the right time......she should be in the mix from the get go with a good speed jock up

2  Li'l Grazen   solid race/number in her latest........for the fifth straight race she is up for the optional tag of $20K........rather amazing she hasn't been claimed.......last is very good and if she repeats it she should have been top choice.....but.....she has regressed in the past following top efforts

6  Anna Fantastic   very strong MSW debut at SA in June to graduate overcoming a wide track up close to the pace........little shot to strut her stuff in start number two as she pressed a decent pace from the inside which was not the place to be at Dmr on 27 July.........dangerous sort and at a  price

5  Wandering Patrol  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE 

 

race 3    average clarity

7  Choas Theory   this "capper" has always liked high priced claims that enter in a Stakes race their next start especially for a trainer of Sadler's ability.......gelding has handled 3 different grass courses well so he likely will take to the Del Mar turf especially since he just worked a bullet on it

1  Sparky Ville   last was decent but what this gelding needs is his effort put forth 3 races back in May.......and if he gives it he has a much better turf rider up today in M Smith than the struggling rider that was up on the 23 May effort

8  Mikes Tiznow   speed of the speed is always quite dangerous in these abbreviated 5F turf sprints and this fellow is one quick out of the gate five year old.......and Richardo Gonzalez knows this gelding well and has amassed a record of (6 4 2 0) riding him

3  Baja Sur

5  Mesut

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Secret Keeper   2 for 2 to start her career and her last race is par like for today's Grade 3 level.......1st at a route but she owns a strong pedigree for one and her trainer C. Sise is 5 for his last 20 "1st time long"........three year old filly might get ignored at the windows some

3  Harvest Moon   on the improve with each and every start and my guess is she moves forward again as Prat stays put.........and.......... her trainer is very stout at developing young runners........filly is shooting for a perfect 3 for 3 in dirt routes today

6  Provocation   solid works that might have this filly ready for her best (which she will need) in her 3rd lifetime start and 1st to date in a route.........her pedigree for a distance endeavor is strong

5  Aurelia Garland

 

race 5    average clarity

8  Lane Way  solid 1st on the sod in this colt's latest in a race run off of works that were not anything special.........since the 19 June race the works are numerous and very impressive.......rather sure this colt fires his best to date today......Prat wisely sticks around

4  Comradery   Irish invader likely needed his first adventure in the USA as he had little support at the windows.........that and he races 2nd time Lasix for Sadler today and the crafty trainer in 32% win & 63% in the money with his last 19 with the move.......retains Hernandez who gets a much better post to work with than he had in this colt's last race

10  Absolute Unit   sprint-sprint-route maneuver led to a solid 2nd place finish last winter at SA.......same sprint-sprint-route scenario today........leading grass rider Rispoli wisely stays put.....Eurton/Rispoli combo are 5 for their last 10

1  Fire Polish

5  War Path

 

race 6    above average clarity

7  Fratelli   lone race at Del Mar which was his MC debut was very solid winning by 8 1/2 lengths and earning a "real" number that is 4L better than par for today's higher level........2nd out was at SA and it was par for today's level.......toss 3rd start out as he ran predictably dull on the grass with a pedigree that hinted he might........Del Mar dirt today

10  Square Deal   trainer's stats are alarmingly good the 1st time he puts a given runner in a claiming race which is the case today.........Simon Callaghan in 42% win and 74% in the money with his last 19 making the move........very dangerous as this gelding owns some big back numbers

2  Baby Gronk   seems best on the Del Mar dirt and at 6F (7 1 3 2 1 at 6F)......that and his very best was run last summer at Del Mar in late July off of 52 days rest.......63 days since his last race........hmmm

4  All I Can Say

9  Taco Waco

 

race 7    above average clarity

1  United   gelding's two 12 furlong grass races are fabulous nearly upsetting the apple-cart at 51 to 1 in the ever so tough B C Turf and running nearly as well in the other in a G2 at Del Mar where he nearly overcame a wide trip losing by only a neck to win.......should get a nice ground saving stalk position this go around........1st at 11F but his 12F prowess bodes well for his chances competing at 11F

7  Red King   the D'A does awfully well in marathon races and he is red hot........six year old really took to Rispoli on his back for the 1st time to win the 14F turf affair by more than 4L.......works since are improved hinting he might be up to his lifetime best today.......hard to ask for more than that

5  Ward 'n Jerry   Puype's seven year old is (3 2 0 1) racing at 11F or 12F on the turf......still this gelding will need his lifetime best to date to have any chance of beating our top pick if he runs his race

9  Oscar Dominquez

10  Originaire

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Potantico   latest race which was run in the 25 July version of this one mile nw2 alw race fits and today we get one positive change in riders.....that and the a.m. work for this gelding is much more impressive for today's race than it was prior to his last race......hard not to like

4  Take the One O One  five year old has a decent shot at getting loose on the lead..........last two wins came the last two times this guy raced turf to dirt.......turf in latest.......dirt today........shooting for a perfect 3 for 3 on the Del Mar main track today

6  Extra Hope   very strong work regiment for this Mandella colt........the kind of a.m. preparation you do not do and then give your colt a "gimme"......very dangerous fresh off of the bench four year old

1  Unbroken Star

8  Kershaw

 

race 9    average clarity

8  Neige Blanche   French invader draws the attention of Prat who should have plenty of filly to work with come stretch time as the three year old has raced at 10F or greater her whole (6 race) career........that and her last race was run was only 2 1/2 months ago

4  Warren's Showtime   heck of a nice Cal Bred three year old filly gets a monumental rider upgrade (Velez has been up for all her races) from one that is 0 for 45 to Mike Smith........how many lengths is that worth?........my algorithm work says 4.......LOL......hey don't laugh too hard as I was a nuclear weapons electronics specialist in the army in West Germany before the wall came down

10  Laura's Light   filly should sit in a nice stalk position which has led to 4 of her 5 lifetime wins in the past........jock sure fits this filly as in 4 wins and a second in five mounts on her

3  Miss Extra   Richard Mandella late runner

9  Parkour  Richard Mandella front runner

 

race 10    average clarity

5  Maximum Security  a stumbled start and a disqualification or this top rated in the USA colt would be a perfect 11 for 11........that and he sure is acting as if he is feeling great as he has been able to put in 14 furlongs of powerful works since his Grade 2 win at Del Mar run on 25 July........somewhat lucky to win his last but most horses do better at Del Mar the 2nd run over the oval

1  Midcourt   actually ran about a length better Santucci fig vs. our top pick in his last........but whereas I think our top pick moves forward I believe this guy will run another strong race but not any better than his last........and he carries 2 lbs more whereas our top choice carries 3 lbs less

3  Mirinaque   won a prestigious dirt Grade 1 in Argentina in his maiden run by 1 1/2L and with a gap of 13L to 3rd.........that race was run 9 Nov 19.........then he ran 2nd 4 months later beating 15 of 16 foes in another of the top races run in ARG...........proven fresh and 1st time racing on Lasix........the wild card in the race

 

race 11    average clarity

4  Shadow Sphinx   Prat is 3 for 4 on this gelding who is quite versatile as he is capable of producing significant speed and at the same time he can win from far off of the pace setters as well.......top jock with options.......have to like that

7  Three Ay Em   2 wins - a 2nd and a 3rd in 4 turf routes leading up to his last where he had a wide trip and checked a length and ran 5th because of it.........but somewhat ironically he earned his best lifetime Santucci fig.........Mike Smith will be out to make amends

8  Southern King  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   last was poor and/or he didn't want anything to do with the 11F distance.........either way if he is up to his race two back which was his 1st with the blinkers on he will have a big shot of taking down this nw alw affair

3  Ostini

10  Desmond Doss

5  Salvator Mundi

 

 

Posted on August 20, 2020 at 3:09 pm by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections