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Del Mar for Saturday 31 October 2020

Opening Day for the Fall meeting at Del Mar.

Take note that this year's special publication for the Breeders Cup at Keeneland covers both days but with only a comment for the top choice. (also take note that the 6 special pubs. are finished and you will need to purchase the Breeders Cup publications). 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Carmelita's Man   impressive maiden breaking one mile grass race at SA despite a fairly weak winning time for the given race day as he was slightly tardy leaving the metal monster and then raced very wide throughout.......the race prior to that was also rather impressive because this colt was able to "restart" after being checked very hard on the 2nd turn........trainer is having one of his best years in S Cal albeit with limited starters.......J J Hernandez wisely remains put

3  Armour Plate   trainer is stellar removing the blinkers the 1st out after taking over the training duties of a given horse.......that and the favorites to win the trainer and riding title for this new meeting are at the helm in Miller & Prat.......one obvious negative is the tendency to hang in the stretch for this five year old

2  Invictatatus   might be a good claim as this four year old sure took to the sod in his 1st endeavor on it........gelding should get a nice up close trip saving ground sitting 2nd or 3rd or maybe even 1st down the back-stretch.........and with stout turf jock Rispoli up

6  Hoop Dream

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Time to Testify   might be an excellent claim by O'Neill as this colt's last two races (his only dirt races to date) average better than 3 lengths better than par.........and he showed that two turns is doable as his 1st two races were turf routes and were decent vs. better........good post and a small field to negotiate so the bug boy should be well worth his 7 lbs break in the weights

6  Mongol Altai   toss his 2nd lifetime start as he stumbled badly at the start and likely was injured because of it as he has been off since the 5 June race where he was pounded at the windows........MSW debut was better than it appears in print........dangerous sort

4  Afleeting Life  one horse trainer drops his four year old multiple maiden claiming levels.......3 of his 5 lifetime grass races look good here if of course trainer Joshua Litt can get as much out of this fellow in his 1st to date on the dirt........pedigree for it is just fine

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Trevor T   overcame his poor route turf pedigree (and a rough trip) in his latest where he put in a very strong finish to nearly break his MSW in the 9 Oct version of this MSW race for Cal-breds.......trainer Gallagher finished the SA meeting rather hot after a very unimpressive 2020 until late summer/early fall..........four year old gelding gets a turf rider upgrade to Euro import Umberto Rispoli who missed the summer Dmr riding title 50 to 49 to who else but Flavien Prat

2  One Fast Bro   race lacks speed and this Shelbe Ruis three year old gelding appears to have as much as anyone and with an advantageous post.....that and he sure moved forward in his 2nd lifetime start which was run last summer at Dmr.....so.......2nd out following a year layoff is potentially a very good thing

4  Cool Your Jets   double barrel action from the Shelbe Ruis barn (see our 2nd pick)...........five year old maiden is consistent but likes to hang in the stretch......but he has the best grass rider he has seen in awhile and he races in a one mile race turf race at Del Mar where he has run his top two effort/figs

1  Square Root

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Lionite   gelding has some pace to close into and at a distance (six furlongs) he has preformed well at ( 5 2 2 1).....claimed in his latest and two weeks following the claim he worked one solid 5F bullet hinting Yakteen has a handle on his new addition to his barn........and it sure is reassuring that Prat rides thru the claim

6  Horse Greedy   seven year old gelding should get a nice stalking trip behind the 3 and the 4 and retains Hernandez who has ridden this fellow well........seems tough if the two speed horses press the issue early

1  Sweet River Baines   dangerous off pace runner who has been absent since July where he won a 32K claiming race at Del Mar like today at 56 to 1........that race was run off of 14 month layoff.........and he also ran 2nd by a neck 7 races back off of another long layoff.........so.........that makes him dangerous today fresh off of the bench

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Annangel  both 5F grass races prior to shipping out of GB are very impressive.......won by 4L beating 8 foes at 80 to 1......then she only lost by a neck despite a very bad start........both races were 3 and up affairs and vs. the boys........shows up in the Baltas barn and with some strong a.m. work put in........pedigree for a route is better than a sprint........good post.........good grass jock.......all systems go

5  Over Attracted   two of her three one mile grass races fit well in this spot and she just ran a solid 5 1/2 furlong turf sprint 3 weeks ago......that race and a strong 5F work since should have her muscled up and very ready for today's turf route.........Rispoli wisely stays put

8  Loud Loud Music    2 for 2 on the grass winning two sprints both by daylight.........pedigree to handle her 1st route is decent......but......the trainer is only 2 for his last 61 "1st at a route" with a given horse........mixed bag - tough call - but dangerous

4  Go Big Blue Nation

2  Beguiled

 

race 6    above average clarity

10  Theluteismine   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   trainer is way above average in the relevant training categories that apply here......and he and Prat have won 14 of their last 30 as a team......very successful owner is also the breeder..........two year old is hard not to like

3  From the Get Go   nice debut running a par like number for today's slightly higher level despite running 2nd by 6 1/4 lengths as the final time was quite fast for the given level.......that and he goes from a jock in a horrendous slump to a bug boy who does well in dirt sprints

8  Gates of Heaven   takes that ever dangerous somewhat magical drop from MSW to MC following a solid move forward in his 2nd lifetime race (albeit on the turf) following a dull dirt debut........if he can run as well on the turf today he has as good a shot to win this as anybody

11  Cojo

5  Paisano

 

race 7    below average clarity

2  Never Be Enough   five year old mare is 3 for 5 since arriving in th U S of A from GB and all three wins were at today's one mile distance albeit on the AW.......but the mare has shown she can handle the grass......not my favorite rider on the grass but he gets a good post to work with and he rides a late runner in a race loaded with plenty of early speed

7  Qahira  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  OK turf pedigree for this Baffert filly trying the grass for the 1st time.........if she handles it look for her to go after the lead and attempt to never look back........and take note the owners (Baoma Corp) are (9 6 2 1) over the last two S Cal meetings........yikes-o-rama

3  Proud Emma   lone turf race was poor but it was run on a very yielding turf at CD in Nov. 2019 and the running line and the long layoff after the race hint this filly was hurt in the race........filly is in good form and when Miller uses Prat his runners are usually very "live"

5  Muchly

4  She's Our Charm

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Uncle Boogie   colt graduated in style at 1st asking not only winning by 6 1/4 lengths but with a gap of 7 1/2 lengths to 3rd.......he earned a number that is slightly better than par for today's higher level and it is clearly the best fig in the field of the locals.......same distance of 5 1/2F today.......only ? mark is a new dirt surface

4  Swift as I Am   Emd is a very fast dirt surface but 57 flat in late July for a two year old still seems solid......and the 7 3/4 length win supports the notion........3 months since his winning debut and the works for new trainer Sadler hint he is ready fresh once again

3  Wedding Groom   faced a horrid group of foes in his latest and it led to a 8 1/4 length win.......his fig earned is short of our top two picks but he is on the improve..........not out of the win picture if the trend continues

5  Pappy Boyington  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  

 

race 9    below average clarity

3  Petruchio   nice 2nd in his 3rd lifetime start and the race was his 1st on the sod and 1st in a route........that race should put more endurance into him this afternoon........and Prat and his agent sure like what they see as he stays put for the 4th straight time on this two year old from the R Mandella barn

4  Mount Pelliar   his off pace running style might fit this race as so many of these two year old turf route races end up favoring the deep closers like this gelding.......not impossible as "the last man standing"

12  Du Joir  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   the last couple of years Baffert has had his MSW turf debut runners more ready to compete at a high level than in the past........nice work tab for this two year old colt who has numerous endurance building works.......difficult post but still dangerous

7  K P Aim High

13 AE  Oncoming

6  Airman

 

 

 

Posted on October 31, 2020 at 7:30 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections