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Del Mar for Friday 13 November 2020

OK card to start the new week racing at Del Mar. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Chasing Fame   Belmont invader set a sizzling unstainable set of fractions in his last race in a 7F dirt race with the blinkers on and predictably tired.......back to the grass when he debuted and ran decently without blinkers where he rated better........cut back in distance of 2 furlongs should help his endurance in the late stages of this 5 furlong grass race......significant jock upgrade

4  Sai Con   Baltas 1st timer finished off his work regiment with 3 straight gate works hinting the fine turf trainer means business with this $360K 2020 purchase.........that and mom has tossed 4 turf winners from 6 starters.......Baltas is a solid 15% win with his last 48 turf debut runners........danger city

2  Enough Nonsense   double barrel action from the O'Neill barn (he also trains our top pick) and with another who comes in from Belmont.......not much in his Belmont MSW debut which was on the dirt but he is working rather well for his 2nd lifetime start and 1st on the sod........blinkers on and so is a 7 lbs bug boy........Doug likely wants his colt to go to the lead and never look back

3  Gator Shining

1  Lance the Legend

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Sapphire Silk   significant rider upgrade to the red hot Abel Cedillo and a solid 3 work series preparing for today's race.......lifetime best and her lone lifetime win was run the last time she competed at Del Mar and it was at today's one mile dirt distance

1  Invincibella   filly has always worked fairly well on conventional dirt and finally gets to race on it for start number 19......blinkers on likely to enhance her chances of sitting close to the front to keep dirt out of her face.......dangerous sort dropping in claiming

7  Samandah   might be up for better than her last as the last two times this filly got to race off of 6 weeks rest or less she made forward moves.........33 days since her latest and T C Baze stays put......might get a nice mid pack trip with three horses faster and the others slower than she is in the early stages

3  Summer Love

2  La Rosa Drive

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Slew South   copious preparatory drills for this laid up Neil French four year old filly who draws Prat off of a layoff suggesting this filly is ready to roll.........and her lifetime best was the only time she ran in a one mile turf race at Del Mar.........and the effort is disguised by 8L of trip trouble (2L for the slow start and 6L for a very wide trip)......she had the 10 post that day and gets the 3 post today.......such a deal

7  Envy   turf sprint - turf sprint - turf route scenario for this filly who draws leading jock Cedillo for the 1st time who won for Anthony Saavedra the only time he rode for the trainer over the last two months and it was a long-shot winner..........hmmm

8  Rose's Crystal   nice rebound year for Carla Gaines and a good start to the new meeting.........finishes for Carla's three year old filly in her last 4 races which were also one mile MSW grass races are as follows: 5th then 4th then 3rd then 2nd.......next finish?????

4  Jan Jan Can

2  Phoenix Tears

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Midnight Jamboree   on the improve with each start and her forward move in her latest is disguised by a very bad trip where like our top pick in race 3 she had 8L of trip trouble.......rider upgrade and to one of Bill Spawr's go to guys in Tiago Pereira.......away since 23 August but a.m. prowess says "ready"......should be motoring late

1  Princess Tale   solid layoff sprint race in her last which was her 2nd lifetime start.......decent pedigree to handle a route.........good post........good rider Rispoli stays put..........dangerous sort

8  Into Victory   filly has been at her best the two times she had the opportunity to race on the Del Mar dirt.......that and there is a total lack of early speed in this field and she owns some and that is somewhat hidden

4  Gotta Be Lucky

7  Nicole Grace

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Lakerball   last win for this O'Neill four year old filly was over 2 years ago so the significant drop down makes sense.......last appears to be a sprint turf tune-up as this filly is too slow early to be a turf sprinter.......Mike Smith is up for his lone mount on the card and the Hall of Fame rider is being extremely selective only getting on live mounts leading to a 38% win percentage at the new meeting

8  Hurley   very strong race two back run 2nd out following a layoff and the strength of the race is disguised by a slow start and a wide trip.......2nd out following a layoff today...........and..........2nd out following the claim by Truman and the trainer is 4 for his last 7 with the move.......hard not seeing this one being anything but tough here

4  Sugary   3 for 3 when up for a $25K claiming tag........seems best on the De Mar turf and also seems best racing at 8F........(5 2 1 0) with Van Dyke up........mare has won her last 3 when running for a $25K claiming tag

3  Seaside Dancer

6  Quinnie

 

race 6    average clarity

7  Just Grace   leading rider Cedillo stays put for a 3rd straight race on this four year old filly who doesn't own a sprint race in her in career that doesn't fit well here......and her lone race at Del Mar (two races back) is very strong but disguised by 8 1/2 lengths of trip trouble......and at the time Cedillo was in a slump......he's not now

2  Mama's Kid   five year old mare should get good up close position in a race that seemingly favors those that do........6 1/2 furlongs looks a little further than she wants to run but with 7 lbs off and a pace scenario that might be slow she has a decent chance of getting the extended sprint distance today

6  Give Me a Hint   four year old filly had an extremely awkward start (cost about 10 lengths) and the apprentice rider scraped the paint on a day the rail was a little dull.......that's a dozen lengths of trip adjustment........filly ended up 10L behind the winner at the wire........veteran jock up this time around

5  Senoradiablo

9  Sybil's Kitty

 

race 7    below average clarity

2  Barristan The Bold   2nd race in the U S of A which was run last January is a par like effort for today's given level.........1st race in the States was somewhat of a shocker as he went off at 43 to 1 in a Grade 2 and beat 7 of 10 foes and ran an adjusted for trip Santucci fig that is 4L better than par for today's lower level.......away since the 20 Jan race but working as if he is meant and ready

4  Cali Caliente   (4 3 1 0) on the grass with the blinkers on.......ran his lifetime best in his latest where he nearly broke the 1:33 barrier on the grass running a 133:10.........Eric Kruljac wisely gives his four year old plenty of time off to recover........as usual look for this gelding to utilize his route speed and sit 1st, 2nd or 3rd spinning out of turn one

1  Murad Khan   (5 2 1 2) at Del Mar on the grass........in need of a drop so O'Neill risks this fellow for $62,500 so as to face easier........drop doesn't bother me much as Doug claimed him for $50,000........good post and an OK grass jock........seven year old gelding should be motoring late

6  Salvator Mundi

5  Gray Magician

 

race 8    average clarity

8  I'm the Boss of Me  two year old filly only went for $47K at sale so the drop from MSW racing down to MC32K doesn't concern me much especially considering she is trained by Peter Miller who is seldom afraid to lose a given horse to get to the circle of joy........filly should be in the mix from the get go

2  Bingos System   compromised by a poor start in her 2nd lifetime start veering out from the outer-most post as so many do........good start in her MSW debut where she showed some early speed.........1st time strong gate jock Maldonado.........very sharp 4F gate work one week ago.........new trainer in Bob Hess........believe this two year old filly is sitting on her lifetime best today

1  Ruthies Racer   double barrel action from the Peter Miller barn as he also trains our top selection.......rider upgrade and this Miller two year old filly appears to be training the best of her career in preparation for today's MC........latest race run 2 1/2 months ago is better than it looks in print........dangerous sort

5  As Reguired

4  Daring Cat

 

race 9    average clarity

4  C Falls   3 of his 4 dirt routes are strong better than par numbers for today's MC level.......away 10 days short of a year but he is working like he is ready to roll fresh off of the bench........1st on the lawn today but he owns an adequate pedigree for it......good post and rider........should be very tough if he handles the sod

5  Capo Mafioso   bad trip in his latest caught wide up on a decent pace......he did well to hang on for 2nd.......1st time Prat today to help him get the two turns of turf........three year old should be prominent from the get go

13 AE  Most Sandisfactory   tough post if he draws into the field but he sure ran well from outer-most 9 post in his last race where he earned a Santucci fig (mostly adjusted for pace) that is 2L better than par

10  Full Draw

7  K P D Day

2  Canadian Luck

 

 

 

Posted on November 13, 2020 at 6:04 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections