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Del Mar for Sunday 15 November 2020

Note there is a SHF carryover for race 9 of $17,140. Be back with you next Friday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Too Much Heaven   victorious in her latest which turned out to be a key field as 2nd and 3rd came back to win their next out.........and her preparatory drills for today's race are vastly improved.........Umberto Rispoli wisely stays put

1  Sabinos Pride   filly is on the improve and her a.m. work since her latest is better........she should get a nice ground saving mid pack or stalk position starting from the 1 post and with Baze up who is not afraid to stay inside.........hard not to like

5  Colombian   might be a good claim by Bill Spawr and company and he gets Flavien Prat to ride thru the claim......and that is especially good as Pratt is (5 2 3 0) on the filly while others are (6 0 0 0).....and all five with Prat up were at today's one mile turf distance........such a deal

4  A G Indy

7  Lady Noquez

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Cheerful Charm   solid move forward in her 2nd lifetime start which was run back on 1 August........that tells me the layoff race on 16 Oct was needed and that she should move forward again today ........1st on the dirt and a 1st sprinting are question marks but she works well on dirt and acts like she might be better suited to one turrn racing

1  Little Miss Belle   trainer Freeman has been dismal with 1sters but he sure is working this 1st time starter aggressively with extremely tightly spaced works averaging 5 day intervals since 17 October........that and mom has tossed 3 winners from 3 starters

5  Ole Silver   latest race won't do the trick but her effort 2 back might.......and the effort is hidden (broke tardy - checked on the turn - ran some on a dull inside at Dmr on 21 Aug)........away since the 21 Aug race but working as if her effort 2 back is in the cards.......we shall see

7  Capital Heat

3  Elgofranco

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Seeking Refuge   believe Cerin has made a good claim for 25K and he gets Umberto Rispoli to ride thru the claim.....last three grass races are solid efforts and fit well vs. today's competition..........Vladimir is 30% win with his last 44 1st following a claim.........9F might hurt some but you can say the same about most of his foes in this race

8  Honos Man   last two races fit and the fact Miller steps his gelding up in claiming hints he likes what he sees in the a.m.........also........Mr Miller is never afraid to drop to win so the fact that he is stepping this one up seems rather significant

7  Big City Bane   cut back of a full furlong should boost the endurance for this Carla Gaines four year old........9F might hurt many in this race but in all likelihood not him

4  Turn the Switch

6  Tejon

 

race 4    below average clarity

3  Seiche   might not have cared for his 1st run over the SA main track as this Baffert three year old tossed a clunker on it following two solid races at Del Mar to start his career......strong 46:3 bullet work in preparation for today and back on the Del Mar dirt..........solid rider/trainer in Gonzalez/Baffert of the last two months as in 3 for 6

1  Charlito   Richard Mandella is on fire to start the new Dmr meeting and he might keep the good times rolling here with this colt who is (5 0 3 2) on the dirt and gets in light with the apprentice rider up who looked good handling this four year old in his last race which was also at one mile........a.m. work is extremely impressive.........would have been top choice if this fellow didn't show such a tendency to hang

6  Tapitution   brutal trip in his 2nd lifetime start and 1st on the dirt......slightly tardy start and then ran absurdly wide (6L behind the winner and with 8 1/2L of trouble........hmmmm)........see you Van Dyke and hello top gun Cedillo who has won 7 of his last 14 for Baffert with 6 others in the money.........that'll do

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Ana Lisa   might really fly with the switch to the buy boy Centeno and with his 7 lbs weight break........mare has been improving ever since Milton Pineda claimed her 10 races back amassing a record of (9 5 3 1) for her new trainer.........and the five year old sure appears to love 5F turf sprints (3 2 1 0)

6  She's Devoted   filly had about as much trip trouble in her MSW as you can have and still win a 5 1/2 furlong turf sprint......and she did it from far back in a race with a slow set of fractions being set............nice a.m. work since........very solid if she settles down.........Prat up should help accomplish that

1  Time for Ebby   decent late runner might be at her very best in turf sprints yet most of her career has been in dirt sprints..........seems dangerous

9  Silk From Heaven

8  Eye On Tiger

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Follow the Lute   work tab for this Tim Yakteen MC20K 1st time starter is awfully strong considering the lowly level..........and why not debut for 20K as in 1 1/2 months this gelding turns five........that and the trainer is better than average with getting MC's to the winners circle in their debut

2  Floyd Moneymaker   way too wide of a trip in his latest or he could have been much closer at the wire than the 5 1/2L that he was..........blinkers go back on after 2 races without them and that move historically speaking is a good one for Herr Brinkerhoff

5  Lucky Ryan Seven   latest was improved and today this three year old gelding races third out following a layoff which is one of Papaprodromou's better stats as in more than 3X his 6% win % for 2020

7  Threearchbaymafia

1  Acting Cat

 

race 7    below average clarity

4  Velvet Queen   looks loose on the lead today and the two times that filly has gotten loose with Prat up it led to a win and a 2nd.......and the win was by 4 1/2 lengths in a race run off of 54 days rest at today's one mile distance.........44 days since her latest with Pratt staying put.......solid a.m. preparation........hard not to like

5  Paid Informant   double barrel action as Baltas also trains our top pick-a-rue........sprint-sprint-route scenario for this girl's 1st at a route and 1st on the sod......pedigree for both is very good as are her recent works......might stalk her barn mate

2  On Mars   very consistent sort on the lawn and she seems to really respond to Smith guiding her along.........filly can really finish fast and she sure seems the most dangerous of the late runners

7  Equal Measure

 

race 8    above average clarity

2  Spielberg   impressive in all four lifetime races and might be at his best racing on the Dmr dirt.......like his chances in at the Grade 3 level as he has run 2nd & 3rd in two Grade 1 affairs.......leading jock Abel Cedillo wisely stays put

3  Weston   two year old is 2 for 2 racing fresh and he is 2+ month fresh today.........he has always worked well but maybe not as solidly as he is right now.......needs best to date most likely and his a.m. work hints he might provide it

6  Uncle Boogie   sprint-sprint-route scenario is usually a good move but this colt owns a pedigree that doesn't exactly scream "ROUTE"...........1st time Pratt and the trainer has been rather dependable the last 4 or 5 weeks........not impossible but a no brainer to make our 3rd selection

 

race 9    average clarity

Note the SHF carryover for race 9 of $17,140. 

2  Velvet   trainer R Mandella is firing on all cylinders of late and then some.........and he sure appears to have this "big bucks" 2019 purchase all wound up and ready to roll........and Mandella is dynamite with maidens debuting on the grass as in 20 %........and look who rides - Mr Prat

5  Evoo   trainer and rider are both in mini-slumps but might help each other out here with this filly who finished fast to nearly graduate in a MSW turf sprint over at SA........two year old seemingly gets enough speed signed up to flatter her late kick

6  Freedom Flyer   dangerous speed if this Simon Callaghan two year old filly manages to move forward some.......and her pedigree hints we haven's seen her best.......maybe today?

7  Royal Blend

1  Bathory

10  Magical Thought

 

 

 

Posted on November 15, 2020 at 10:15 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections