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Santa Anita for Saturday 10 April 2021

Kentucky Derby Day and our full card selections for Churchill Downs is only 3 weeks away. In a few days you will see our discounted price which will be available for four days only at a $6 savings.

Turf course gets a break this weekend as all 18 races are on the dirt. OK card today and at first glance Sunday's is even better.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Littlebitamedal   last two wins were run in his last race and 5 back and were the only two times that the hottest jock around in Flavien Prat rode and both efforts/figs fit well in this spot.......four year old gelding beat our 3rd selection in this race rather handedly when they faced each other on 13 March

5  Handsome Cat   gelding should get a nice stalk position behind our 3rd selection who will likely be on the lead........sharp recent 5F workout hints he is feeling good........jock upgrade (at least for a dirt sprint where Gonzalez is at his best)

4  Posterize

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Lone Scout   trainer had a very good go of it last week and might keep the ball rolling with this colt who just popped a strong effort in his 2nd lifetime start and 1st at a route albeit a turf route.......but his pedigree is just fine for the dirt and if he fires a similar race as his latest and gets a better trip (broke slow, ran somewhat wide and was bumped a little in the stretch) he will be tough in this spot

2  Phantom Dance   another who appears to be a contender if he can race as well on the conventional dirt as he has on the turf or the synthetic.......trainer has been firing on all cylinders for the entire SA meeting so odds are this four year old will handle his first on the "real dirt".....trainer & rider are 2 for 6 with 2 others in the money with 6 starts over the last 2 months

5  Papale

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Luckys Last Stand   great spot to utilize his speed unless the one horse (a first time starter) has some........last fits decently but he appears sharper in the a.m. hinting his 1st to date racing off of short rest will be his best to date

5  Gordy's Boy   seems like an overdue drop into MC50K.......the drop should help as should putting the blinkers on after being off for two races with little response to the change........both lifetime sprint races with the blinkers on fit decently here........new jock in Baze today as it appears Pereira took our top pick over this colt

2  Gerlach's

 

race 4    below average clarity

3  Chollima   four year old filly has a good history when she has early contact to the front end of things and she should get that here.........that and she is (2 1 1 0) at today's 6F distance........trainer Lorenzo Ruiz has had a decent SA meeting and he might add to his 16% win total this afternoon

2  Bella Renella   filly is on the improve as is her rider Kent Desormeaux who is breaking out of quite the slump.......sure would be nice if the jock who can ride with the best of them (when he is "right") keeps improving

6  Your Royal Coil

 

race 5    above average clarity

5  Prince Magician   big race 6F turf to 6F dirt two races back running an effort/fig that appears awfully solid considering today's lower level.......one mile turf race in last and 5 1/2F dirt today......and with one significant rider upgrade from a jock who is ice cold to one that is not......hard not to like

2  Moon Mischief   Sadler colt was beaten by our top selection in his latest but he earned the same Santucci fig........and like our top choice he also gets a jock change for the better from an average one to the meetings runaway leader in Prat........another hard not to like

3  Stir the Pot

 

race 6    average clarity

1  Exaulted  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  on the improve with each and every start and he has shown that he can handle the somewhat specialty distance of 7F with and easy win in an alw nw race (same level as today) & a 3rd place finish in a Grade 2 missing 2nd by a nose........Smith wisely stays put as this four year old colt who continues to train like a happy healthy individual

4  Colt Fiction   lifetime best was run 3rd out following a layoff.......same scenario for this afternoon's race.......and........one of Bill Spawr's stronger stats is - you guessed it - 3rd out after a layoff.........gelding is consistent and acts as if 7F will be a good fit.......we shall see if that is so about 3:30 p.m. pacific

3  Howbeit   

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Conquest Cobra    elder statesman here for sure but 49 lifetime races for a nine year old is a very reasonable number and this is only his 3rd race of 2021.......gelding steps up two levels and retains Prat.......if he fires his latest race he should be a major factor in the outcome of this race.......the fact Belvoir steps a nine year old up so much hints he is doing great

4  Causeididitmyway   six year old gelding has a decent history at today's one mile dirt distance (8 3 1 1) and he should get very good position for Desormeaux likely on or near the lead in what should a reasonable set of fractions.......that and one of the trainer's better stats is with "claiming race repeaters"

1  Contagion

 

race 8    below average clarity

7  Bold Endeavor  capable on or off of the pace and that should come in handy here for top jock Prat as he can take back some in a race that should yield some hot fractions.........Glatt has done a great job of improving this gelding as his 2nd and 3rd races since he claimed this five year old are very solid......hard not to like

3  Charlito   apprentice rider Jessica Pyfer has done a nice job riding this horse for Richard Mandella who is having a fabulous meeting (50 13 7 7)........recent a.m. work is quite a bit better and that bodes well for this fellow's chances of handling the step up of one allowance level.......hard not seeing this five year old not making a good account of himself here

2  Lambeau

4  Ekklesia

1  Taishan

 

race 9    below average clarity

4  Lulu D' Oro   nice awakening in her 2nd lifetime start with the blinkers going on for the 1st time.........and the strength of the effort is disguised some as this filly dueled on a dull inside on 5 March at SA........3 reassuring works since the race.......hard not to like

7  Medusa's Gaze   3 of 4 races since going on Lasix fit well in this spot.......filly should finish well today coming off a 7F sprint........trainer Kristin Mulhall is quietly having a nice SA meeting and she seemingly has a shot at increasing her 18% win percentage this afternoon

1  Big Al's Princess

9  Kind But She Lies

3  Best of Show

5  Ensleys Dream

 

 

 

Posted on April 10, 2021 at 7:06 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections